21 October 2014

Power to the People

What if we could support a democratic state in North Africa by buying clean, green electricity, and potentially at the same time start greening the Sahara desert? It's a bit of a no-brainer and we need to monitor carefully how this bid is handled.

We know that the primary way of tackling our power needs is to reduce demand through energy efficiency (which is already happening) and that storage is also vital. It's also well worth reading the IPPR Report "Beyond the Bluster" that shows just how much of our energy needs can be met by wind, and that even if the wind doesn't blow in the UK for a few days, Denmark, Germany and our European partners will be producing more than they might need.

Finally, we have local solar, hydroelectric power and other non-conventional options which can all make a contribution. I'm an optimist about this. With wind dropping below the price of coal for energy generation, the writing is on the wall for fossil fuels and eventually nuclear. How fast we are going to get there will be about political willpower and our coalition government have been pursuing fracking and nuclear options instead. History will record that as a serious misjudgement not just environmentally, but economically too.

16 October 2014

Mental Health and Language

Yesterday, we sent out the following press release in response to the language used by Liverpool's Mayor on an article published on the Liverpool Echo website.

The Green Party in Liverpool have condemned the insensitive and offensive use of language by Mayor Anderson when he had been challenged in relation to the purchase of the Cunard building by Liverpool City Council.

Yesterday, the Echo reported that the Mayor had said he would:

“send an accountant and a psychiatrist around if any one says its not a good deal" and "if anyone thinks it's a white elephant, they should be certified".

After some strong comments below the article on the Echo website, the original quotes have been removed.

Speaking for the Green Party, Martin Dobson, Parliamentary Candidate for Liverpool Riverside said:

“I’m deeply disappointed by the Mayor’s use of language in relation to mental health. On the 10th October, World Mental Health day amongst other things highlights the need to remove the stigma surrounding mental health.”

“The Mayor’s comments were insensitive and offensive. It is not sufficient for someone to simply ask for them to be removed and for these to be airbrushed from history. The Mayor should apologise.”


Now there are a couple of explanations here. Firstly, it could be that the journalist wildly and inaccurately misquoted the Mayor of our city. Subsequently they had to remove the quotes. I don't feel that is likely but I won't rule it out. If any Labour councillor or member locally wants to make a statement to that effect, I'll add it onto the blog here.

Secondly, the Mayor made these comments, they appeared online and in response to the comments, either the Mayor or Labour's press operation asked for these quotes to be removed, hoping to bury this, at best, insensitive and ignorant use of language.

I haven't got a thirdly, but maybe someone else has. Comments are welcomed.

The story shouldn't be buried. The Leader of the Labour Party, Ed Miliband, rightly hauled Lord Freud over the coals yesterday for suggesting that disabled people should be paid less than the minimum wage. He has issued a full and unreserved apology. Surely for consistency, we should expect the Mayor of Liverpool to do the same?

29 August 2014

Scottish Independence and a Narrow Win

Today’s poll puts Yes at 47% and No at 53% after you strip out the undecided. Six months ago, polls like this, with less than 3 weeks to go until polling day were thought to be unlikely. It will be a very close finish. Whether the poll methodology is accurate will have to wait for polling day to come and go, but my feeling is that the groups of voters being targeted by the Radical Independence Campaign generally don’t vote and generally don’t register on polls.

The ground operation of the Yes campaign (and Better Together’s efforts) will now be crucial, but what happens if Yes succeeds by a very narrow margin (say a few thousand votes) on an 80% turnout. Will we have “hanging chads” and legal challenges to contend with from an establishment intent on preserving the union? If that is the case, then onlookers from south of the border need to be very aware of some key findings so far in this campaign.

A study by Dr John Robertson, from the University of West Scotland, pointed to media bias during Phase 1 of the campaign (up to 18th September 2013). He has experienced hostility since then from the BBC

BBC Scotland was found to have broken editorial guidelines on accuracy over one of the key issues of the independence debate - membership of the European Union

A narrower follow up study on a specific programme, again pointed to BBC staff making more negative statements about independence than positives

We shall have to see exactly how editorial comments are delivered the day before the election, but again it is likely that the mainstream media will be urging a “No” vote. Should Scotland then go on to vote Yes to Independence, no matter how narrow the margin, it will be a positive vote when the odds were stacked against them. Any vote for Yes needs to be accepted, and while the betting is still against it, the momentum is there for Yes and this really looks from an outside perspective that it will be going down to the wire.

26 August 2014

Northern England and Scottish Independence

I work in West Lancashire but even in our office today, the talk is about Scottish independence. As someone who still speaks with an accent with its origin from north of Hadrian’s wall, people are asking me how would I vote?

When I answer, I make it clear that if I lived in Scotland, I would vote “Yes”. If we get into a debate, I explain why I think voting Yes is in Scotland’s interests. You don’t need me to rerun that discussion. Instead you should read Adam Ramsay’s 42 reasons to support independence.

I answer the question carefully because as a resident in Liverpool, who works in Skelmersdale, two very Labour dominated areas, if someone asks me whether they think it will be good for Northern England if Scotland votes for independence, then the answer has to be a clear “no, unless…”

This is the heart of the problem for Labour campaigners and others who are crossing the border to campaign for Better Together, like our own Mayor in Liverpool, Joe Anderson. For Liverpool, for other northern cities, for the poorer northern regions unfortunately dominated by a London centric economy, then it is a case of Better Together. The presence of Glasgow and Edinburgh as major cities helps offset London’s dominance of Britain. The 59 seats in Scotland prevented the Conservatives winning an overall majority in the 2010 Westminster Election. Without Scotland, the electoral mathematics to form future governments becomes much easier for the Conservatives. Understandably, self-interest of northern English campaigners will play a strong part in those interventions, but it should not ever be mistaken for the Scottish self-interest.

This doesn't mean unrelenting gloom for those of us living in the North of England if Scotland becomes independent because there is the very important “unless” bit to consider. There are clear opportunities from a “Yes” vote for the Remaining UK. Getting rid of Trident is an obvious positive, but that would require a brave decision from a new government. I’m not very optimistic about that, but I’m not ruling it out either, particularly given the abject failure of this government to tackle our annual budget deficit and the huge cost of replacement.

Another opportunity is a fairer voting system for both General Elections and Local Elections. There may only be a narrow window of opportunity for that legislation to pass from 2015 to 2016. If Labour forms a minority government as the largest party after the 2015 General Election, with 320 seats, Lib Dems 20, Others 30, Tories 280, then Scottish independence means the remaining UK Parliament after 2016 will have Labour and the Tories on an even number of seats. The electoral mathematics would permanently be tilted in favour of southern England under FPTP and an inevitable boundary review would make a Labour majority very difficult to achieve in future. There will be some urgency for this, so I am optimistic that at least some progress will be made if we end up with a hung parliament or narrow Labour majority next year.

A final opportunity will be for England, Wales and Northern Ireland to take a clear look at the current constitutional arrangements. England could discover its vibrant 21st Century self, that is no longer steeped in a colonial heritage, but instead celebrates a newer England and embraces a future where we will become more diverse and more open to the outside world. The alternative is that new England will be dominated by a media and an establishment that pander to the worst excesses of UKIP and ultimately votes for an exit from the European Union, dragging Wales and Northern Ireland with it.

In relation to the last point alone, the biggest risk to Scotland if it doesn’t vote for independence next month is being dragged out of the EU in 2017 or later. Indeed if there is very narrow win for the Better Together campaign, but in a future referendum the UK votes as a whole to leave the EU, while Scotland has a majority in favour of staying, then expect a strong argument for another referendum on independence. However, it was only a unique political result and an SNP majority with Greens also voting in favour of the referendum that even allowed Scotland this opportunity to vote. This chance to shape their own destiny may only come once to Scottish voters alive today. The Westminster parties of Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the Conservatives did all that they could to block a referendum. Given the circumstances outlined above, the Westminster parties would argue that Scotland has already voted on this issue, and would block it from happening again.

The parade of civic leaders from south of the border illustrates that Better Together is definitely a valid slogan for northern England in particular. But this is a vote and a choice by the people of Scotland for the people of Scotland. If I was still living as a resident in Bo’ness where I grew up, then I would be voting “Yes”. To paraphrase the Proclaimers, I can’t understand why they would let someone else rule their land [cap in hand], especially when those people are going to be more responsive to the dominant right wing media and UKIP voters in a handful of marginal seats, than to the needs of Scotland.

23 August 2014

Liverpool's next cohort of Green Councillors

From a Press Release sent today:

Greens Announce Target Local Election Candidates

Anna Key could become Liverpool’s first Polish born councillor after winning the Green Party’s selection contest for St Michaels. A governor at a local school and a former chair of Liverpool NCT, she will be defending the seat currently held by Cllr John Coyne who will step down in 2015.

Announcing the results of last week’s ballot, Cllr Coyne, leader of the Greens in Liverpool said:

“I’m really pleased that we have a well contested internal ballot and I’m delighted that Anna has been selected to defend the seat in May next year. She brings a great deal of personal campaigning experience from outside the party and is someone who already makes a strong contribution to our community. I think she will make an exceptional councillor.”

The Greens have also announced that David Morgan has been selected to try and capture a second Greenbank seat after Cllr Lawrence Brown’s stunning win in May. The Greens should continue to see a great deal of support due to the possibility of housing being built on Sefton Park Meadows, but will be expecting a close contest against Labour councillor Laura Robertson-Collins who will be defending her seat for the first time.

In other results, Helen Randall will again lead the campaign for the Greens in Mossley Hill ward, Rebecca Lawson in Riverside, Martyn Madeley in Kirkdale and former Liverpool University student Rachael Blackman will contest Central ward. A second round of selections will be taking place in other wards around the city in the Autumn.

19 August 2014

Wavertree Constituency

I’m pleased to announce that I’ve been selected as the Green Party Parliamentary candidate for Wavertree and as such this blog will now be a campaign one between now and May 2015.

As we've previously made clear, Liverpool Riverside is our target constituency here in Liverpool. I stood there in 2005, Cllr Tom Crone was our candidate in 2010 and Martin Dobson is our excellent candidate there this time. We are the established second place party in the last three sets of local elections. Labour “won” Riverside by 53% to the Green 27% in this year’s local contest.

In 2010 we also stood in Liverpool Wavertree constituency (where I live) for the first time, gaining a modest 1.6% in what was then seen to be a marginal constituency between Labour and the Lib Dems. Oh how times have changed, and I bring you a comparison between the last local elections before the 2010 General and Locals (which took place on the same day) and the 2014 local results.

2008 Local Elections

Lib Dems 53.7% (all wards)
Labour 25.9% (all wards)
Tories 7% (all wards)
Greens 6.3% (all wards)
UKIP (no candidates)
Others 7.9%

2014 Local Elections

Labour 53.6% (all wards)
Lib Dems 17.2% (all wards)
UKIP 12.2% (all wards)
Greens 7.4% (5 out of 6 wards)
Tories 4.2% (all wards)
Others 5.4%

You can see why in 2010 the Liberal Democrats genuinely thought they could win Wavertree. Those local numbers in 2008 were very promising for them and they won every single ward. Fast forward to 2014 and Labour are winning every local ward in the constituency. UKIP have emerged with a decent vote after standing in every ward and benefiting from their Euro vote coverage. The Lib Dems have not collapsed completely but were vigorously defending their last few seats in the constituency this year.

So what should we expect to happen in 2015? The 2008 local election results shows that Labour will do better in General Elections than in local ones in Wavertree. I’m sure that Luciana Berger and her team will be expecting a 60%+ vote for Labour.

In 2010 the Green vote was undoubtedly squeezed in what was seen as a marginal constituency. That won’t happen in 2015 and I expect us to do improve on our 1.6% result. We can also highlight our improved showing at the local elections (although this is a lot smaller than our Riverside constituency improvement), despite only standing in 5 out of 6 wards. We had an arrangement with a local independent candidate in 2014, but even so our support is up and it is evidence we should gain more support at the General Election too. Finally, I think we will also see a benefit from our new status as the official opposition in the city.

The Lib Dems will be trying very hard to defend their remaining two wards, Church and Woolton, only one of which is in the Wavertree constituency. So I would expect some localised Lib Dem campaigning in that ward that matches the Lib Dem effort constituency wide in 2010. Overall, they will do well to finish 2nd in the constituency and holding onto Church ward in a General Election year (with the much higher turnout that benefits Labour) would be an exceptional result. My view is that they are unlikely to hold the seat whether or not Cllr Richard Kemp chooses to defend it.

UKIP will probably do much better than their 2.3% in 2015, but I would expect the Tories to fall back as a result. The remaining potential wild card in all of this was the potential candidacy of Cllr Jake Morrison, who felt bullied by Luciana Berger’s team and resigned from Labour. Recently there has been very little from him to suggest he is still going to stand, but it would be reasonable to assume that if he did, he would pick up some the residual disaffection from Labour supporters within the constituency who are still less than lukewarm about their MP. If he doesn’t, I think most of those voters will back the Greens as a more radical alternative to austerity than Labour.

Coming full circle, it is crucial to point out that our efforts, with our limited resources, have to be targeted in a General Election under our crude First Past the Post electoral system, and because of our stronger support there, financially we have to focus on the Riverside constituency. However by standing, I will give everyone in Wavertree constituency the opportunity to express their support for the more radical policies against austerity, such as a tax on wealth for the top 1%, that we Greens offer in comparison with the Labour Party. I also want to make sure that the current and likely continuing MP for Wavertree is tested at hustings and that the issues that are key for our supporters are on her agenda if she is re-elected. Most of all, I want people who have seen Caroline Lucas in action as our first MP, to vote for us everywhere in the country. Those votes are an endorsement of Green MPs in Parliament and a positive vision for our society.

17 June 2014

Labour's Last Chance for a Majority

The strategic objectives of the Green Party at the General Election are pretty clear. We need to hold Brighton Pavilion and try and win Norwich South. Here in Liverpool, our local election vote share in our best constituency (Liverpool Riverside) was only half that of Labour's in the local elections. In seats like these, even with the Greens building, winning is an incredibly difficult (but not impossible) task. However, there are an increasing number of seats that we may not be able to win in 2015 but could be seats we take in 2020.

The Labour Party's objective is to win with a majority of the seats in 2015 and form the government. Right now they increasingly look as though they will fall short. They are being led by someone who has successfully alienated much of the good will he had built up with traditional Labour activists and supporters with his actions last week. An ICM poll in the Guardian reports that Ed Miliband's popularity has dropped below Nick Clegg's. Re-read that then think about it for a minute.

Ed Miliband has not yet made one government decision but is looked on less favourably than a leader who has taken his party from 23%+ to less than 8% in the polls. He has been leader of the opposition during a time of austerity, where service after service has been cut. Libraries are closing. Leisure centres are closing. Adult social care services are closing. The list goes on. Yet Labour are barely ahead in the polls with 10 months to go before an election and Miliband is looked on less favourably than John Major in 1996 and Gordon Brown in 2009.

It is pretty clear to me and to many others outside of Labour that he is the wrong person for the job. He is too cerebral and too disconnected from the public. Cameron looks more comfortable than he does. We can comment on this. We can blog on this. We can speak our minds. Labour members and activists, by and large, do not. However, you can find the mood changing in Labour.

I am no fan of David Miliband but I'm pretty sure that had he run against a hugely unpopular Gordon Brown (in June 2009, David Cameron’s Tories were polling 39% and had a 12% lead over Labour), he would have won a leadership contest. Then the result in 2010 would potentially have been a Labour / Lib Dem coalition rather than the one we got. To any activist in Labour I say - don't let history repeat itself. This is your one chance for a change now, straight after the appalling error of judgement by Miliband in over posing with the Sun (for a third time). Yvette Cooper or Andy Burnham as a leader of the opposition can win the next election. Ed Miliband won't.

Finally, I issue a local challenge to Labour councillors, MPs and activists in Liverpool. Where are you on this issue? Peter Mitchell spoke his mind and deserves credit for saying what others would not. If you are not trying to make a change happen, you are saying cheerio to a Labour win in 2015. While I'm a political opponent and you clearly don't want to tell me about your internal processess, I really, really hope you are not just sitting on your hands and accepting what will at best be something like 2010, or much worse, something like 1992 in May next year. The country will not thank you for another five years of the coalition or indeed, a Tory government.